Should You Buy Crypto In October-November Or Is It Too Late?

By Alex Assoune Oct 30, 2025

Timing the crypto market can be tricky because even though historical trends show October–November often perform well (sometimes called the “crypto season”), it doesn’t guarantee gains every year. Here’s a breakdown to help you think clearly:

1. Historical Trend Doesn’t Equal Certainty

Crypto has shown a tendency to rally in Q4, but some years are flat or even down.
Using history as a guide is helpful, but not a crystal ball.

2. Buying Now vs. Waiting

Buying now:
- You might catch part of the seasonal rally.
- But prices could still dip (especially if there’s a shakeout).
Waiting for a dip:
- Could give you a better entry price.
- But you risk missing the rally if prices jump quickly.

3. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Instead of trying to time the exact bottom, consider buying smaller amounts over time.
This spreads your risk and avoids the stress of perfect timing.

4. Check Market Conditions

Look at recent trends, volume, and support levels before entering.
Avoid buying during spikes caused by hype, which often precede shakeouts.

5. Risk Management

Only invest what you’re comfortable holding long-term.
Don’t over-leverage—October–November rallies can have sharp corrections too.

✅ Bottom line: It’s not too late, but don’t expect guarantees. A smart approach is gradual buying with careful position sizing, watching for dips, and being ready for volatility.

Here’s a simple, practical entry plan for buying crypto in October–November while protecting yourself from shakeouts:

Step 1: Decide Your Total Investment

Decide how much you’re willing to invest for the season.
Only use money you can afford to hold long-term.

Step 2: Use Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

Split your total investment into 4–6 smaller purchases over the next 6–8 weeks.
Example: If you plan to invest $1,200, buy $200 per week instead of all at once.

Step 3: Watch Key Support Levels

Identify recent support zones on the chart.
Try to make purchases near or slightly above these levels to reduce shakeout risk.

Step 4: Avoid Buying During Hype Spikes

If the price suddenly jumps on news or hype, wait for a pullback.
Shakeouts often follow hype spikes, which can trigger panic selling.

Step 5: Set Basic Risk Management Rules

Don’t over-leverage; keep leverage minimal (1x–3x) or avoid it entirely.
Decide your maximum acceptable loss per trade (e.g., 2–5% of your total portfolio).

Step 6: Monitor Volume and Candlestick Wicks

Watch for sudden spikes in volume and long wicks, which may signal a shakeout.
Avoid buying during these volatile moments unless you’re confident in your plan.

Step 7: Hold for the Trend

The goal is to ride the historical Q4 trend, not to day-trade every spike.
Patience is key—shakeouts will happen, but they usually don’t last long.

✅ Key Takeaway:

Buy gradually, near support, avoid hype, and manage risk.
This way, you’re positioned to take advantage of the October–November trend while reducing the chance of being shaken out.

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About the Author: Alex Assoune

Alex Assoune (MS) is a global health and environmental advocate. He founded Panaprium to inspire others with conscious living, ethical, and sustainable fashion. Alex has worked in many countries to address social and environmental issues. He speaks three languages and holds two Master of Science degrees in Engineering from SIGMA and IFPEN schools.

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